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Forecasts for economic growth during the second half of this year and
2010 have been steadily ratcheted up as most of the monthly economic
indicators have come in better than expected. We have raised our own
estimate modestly |
Euroland: Arguments for ECB to Hike in 2010
- The focus of the ECB now appears to be shifting from
whether to implement more stimulus measures to when to begin
withdrawing them.
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Possible risks and profits to be made can always be predicted if
traders would only have more accurate Forex forecast to base their
trade and decisions upon. Forex forecasts are only one way of keeping
up with the volatile Forex market. Success will depend the most in
knowing what and who will affect the rate changes. |
Mature wave structures and momentum divergence at recent highs in the
EURUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD favors additional US dollar strength. The
GBPUSD is contained by channel resistance. The USDJPY trend is bearish
below 96.70. |
With the doomsday scenario apparently off the table, prospects for
recovery have helped fuel the resurgence in stocks and in some
commodity prices. The first wave of the Treasury's unprecedented debt
sales have been absorbed relatively smoothly, though the US dollar has
weakened substantially on concerns about the mounting government debt
burden. |
Upbeat economic data dominated in August especially in the United
States where the improvement in housing statistics and auto sales stole
the headlines. Globally, talk of the end of the recessions in Germany, |
Measured from the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the global financial
crisis will have its one year anniversary this month. Lehman went into
its final death spiral last September, imploding as the Fed and
Treasury decided to use the demise of the relatively small investment
bank as a lesson to Wall Street about moral hazard. |
If there was any doubt to the dollar’s primary fundamental driver, the
currency would forge a new 14 year low on a trade weighted basis and
against its European counterpart while the Dow officially climbed above
the 10,000-mark. Investor sentiment is keeping the greenback held down
while a current of optimism sweeps the markets higher. |
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